HİDAYET GİZEM ÜNLÜ
(Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Ekonometri Bölümü, Isparta, Türkiye)
Yıl: 2016Cilt: 24Sayı: 27ISSN: 1305-5577Sayfa Aralığı: 11 - 24Türkçe

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Döviz Kuru Oynaklığı ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Türkiye Örneği
Döviz kuru oynaklığı ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki ilgi uyandıran araştırma konularındandır. Döviz kuru oynaklığı, yatırımı ve bununla bağlantılı olarak ekonomik büyümeyi nasıl şekillendirmektedir? Literatürde bu soruya cevap arayan çok sayıda çalışma mevcuttur. Çalışmada bu soruya reel döviz kuru oynaklığının Türkiye'de çıktı üzerindeki etkileri üzerinden cevap aranmaya çalışılmıştır. Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin reel gayri safi yurt içi hasılası (RG) üzerinde tüketici fiyat endeksi(TÜFE), gayri safi sabit sermaye oluşumu (SSO), doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımı (DYSY) ve döviz kuru oynaklığı (OYN) etkileri 1998:Ç1 den 2014:Ç3'e kadar üçer aylık veriler kullanılarak incelenmiştir. ARDL Sınır Testi yaklaşımına göre değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin var olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. TÜFE ve SSO değişkenleri RG üzerinde pozitif ve anlamlı bir etkiye sahipken, DYSY değişkeninin katsayısı da pozitiftir fakat anlamlı değildir. OYN değişkeni RG üzerinde negatif ve anlamlı bir etkiye sahiptir. Bu sonuç, Türkiye'de reel döviz kurunda yaşanan dalgalanmaların çıktı üzerinde olumsuz etkilere sahip olduğunu göstermektedir
Sosyal > İş
Sosyal > İşletme Finans
Sosyal > İktisat
Sosyal > İşletme
DergiAraştırma MakalesiErişime Açık
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