KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Yalçın PAMUK, (Boş)
Uğur DÜNDAR (Erciyes Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, Maliye Bölümü, Kayseri, Türkiye)
Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
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Yıl: 2016 Cilt: 34 Sayı: 3 Sayfa Aralığı: 23 - 50 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Öz:
Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye'de iktisadi büyümeyi maksimum kılan kamu harcama oranını (toplam kamu harcaması/GSMH) tahmin etmektir. Çalışmanın ilk bölümü, kamu harcaması ve iktisadi büyüme ilişkisine dair tarihi ve teorik çerçeveye odaklanmaktadır. İkinci bölümde ise Scully (1996) zaman serisi analizi kullanılarak Türkiye için kamu kesiminin optimal hacmi tahmin edilmiştir. Scully yöntemi, denk bütçe varsayımı altında, iktisadi büyüme oranı ile kamu harcama oranını ilişkilendiren bir denklemin regresyonuna dayanır. Veri seti 1950-2006 dönemini kapsamaktadır. Model, Genişletilmiş Dickey-Fuller (ADF) testi, Johansen (1988, 1995) eşbütünleşme testi ve bir vektör hata düzeltme modeli (VECM) kullanılarak test edilmiştir. Modelde, Türkiye'de optimal kamu kesimi büyüklüğünün, GSMH'nın yaklaşık %23.5'ine eşit olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.
Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: İşletme İktisat İşletme Finans

OPTIMAL SIZE OF PUBLIC EXPENDITURES: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Öz:
The aim of this study is to estimate the public expenditure ratio (total public expenditure/GNP) which maximizes economic growth rate in Turkey. The first part of the study focuses on the historical and theoretical framework of the public expenditure and economic growth relationship. In the second part the optimal size of the public sector in Turkey is estimated using Scully (1996) time series analysis. Scully method, under the balanced budget assumption, is based on a regression the equation that relates the public expenditure ratio and economic growth rate. Data covers the 1950-2006 period. Model is tested by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Johansen (1988, 1995) Cointegration and a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). In the model, it was concluded that the optimal size of the public sector in Turkey is about 23.5% of GNP.
Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: İşletme İktisat İşletme Finans
Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA PAMUK Y, DÜNDAR U (2016). KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. , 23 - 50.
Chicago PAMUK Yalçın,DÜNDAR Uğur KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. (2016): 23 - 50.
MLA PAMUK Yalçın,DÜNDAR Uğur KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. , 2016, ss.23 - 50.
AMA PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. . 2016; 23 - 50.
Vancouver PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. . 2016; 23 - 50.
IEEE PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U "KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ." , ss.23 - 50, 2016.
ISNAD PAMUK, Yalçın - DÜNDAR, Uğur. "KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ". (2016), 23-50.
APA PAMUK Y, DÜNDAR U (2016). KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 34(3), 23 - 50.
Chicago PAMUK Yalçın,DÜNDAR Uğur KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 34, no.3 (2016): 23 - 50.
MLA PAMUK Yalçın,DÜNDAR Uğur KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, vol.34, no.3, 2016, ss.23 - 50.
AMA PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2016; 34(3): 23 - 50.
Vancouver PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ. Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi. 2016; 34(3): 23 - 50.
IEEE PAMUK Y,DÜNDAR U "KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ." Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, 34, ss.23 - 50, 2016.
ISNAD PAMUK, Yalçın - DÜNDAR, Uğur. "KAMU HARCAMALARININ OPTİMAL BOYUTU: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ". Hacettepe Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi 34/3 (2016), 23-50.
Sayfa Oluşturulma Tarihi
17-04-2024 5:20

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