Tayfur BAYAT
(Yrd. Doç. Dr., İnönü Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü.)
AHMET ŞAHBAZ
(Yrd. Doç. Dr., Gaziantep Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü.)
TANER AKÇACI
(Yrd. Doç. Dr., Kilis 7 Aralık Üniversitesi, İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi, İktisat Bölümü.)
Yıl: 2013Cilt: 0Sayı: 42ISSN: 1301-3688 / 2630-6409Sayfa Aralığı: 67 - 90Türkçe

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PETROL FİYATLARININ DIŞ TİCARET AÇIĞI ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ
Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin 1992:01-2012:04 dönemine ait aylık veriler kullanılarak reel petrol fiyatları ile dış ticaret dengesi arasındaki ilişki, doğrusal olmayan eşbütünleşme, doğrusal olmayan ve frekans alanı Granger tipi nedensellik analizleri kullanılarak incelenmiştir. Analizler sonucunda reel petrol fiyatından dış ticaret açığına tek yönlü nedenselliğin olduğu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. Fakat nedensellik ilişkisi sadece orta vadede geçerlidir. Buna göre Türkiye'de orta vadede petrol fiyatlarındaki oynaklıklar dış ticaret açıklarının oluşmasında etkili iken, uzun vadede dış ticaret açıkları üzerindeki etkisi kaybolmaktadır.
Sosyal > İktisat
Sosyal > Uluslararası İlişkiler
Sosyal > İşletme
DergiAraştırma MakalesiErişime Açık
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