Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods

AKCAN, SERAP

Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods

Serap AKCAN (Aksaray Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Endüstri Mühendisliği Bölümü, Aksaray)

Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi

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Yıl: 2017 Cilt: 32 Sayı: 2 Sayfa Aralığı: 161 - 172 Metin Dili: Türkçe İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods

Öz:

Doğal, tükenmeyen, temiz ve sürdürülebilir bir enerji kaynağı olduğundan rüzgâr enerjisi dünyada önem kazanmaktadır. Rüzgâr enerjisi istasyonlarının tasarlanması ve kurulması için rüzgâr hızı tahmini önemlidir. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'deki beş farklı coğrafi bölge ve dokuz meteorolojik istasyondan 1960 ve 2014 yılları arasındaki uzun dönemli aylık ortalama rüzgâr hızı verileri dikkate alınarak rüzgâr enerjisi için farklı zaman serisi analizi metotları karşılaştırılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonucunda elde edilen düşük performans ölçüm değerleri, rüzgâr hızı tahminleri için bu çalışmada ele alınan metotların kullanılabileceğini göstermektedir

Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: Enerji ve Yakıtlar Çevre Mühendisliği

Zaman Serisi Analiz Metotları Kullanılarak Rüzgâr Hızının Tahmin Edilmesi

Öz:

As a natural, non-consumable, clean and sustainable energy resource, wind energy is becoming crucial throughout the world. Forecasting wind speed is noteworthy to design and install wind power stations. In this study, several time series analysis methods for wind energy were compared considering long-termmonthly-average wind speed data between the years of 1960 and 2014 at nine meteorological stations throughout five geographical areas in Turkey. The low performance measure values seen in results indicate that the methods used in this study can be forecast for wind speed

Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: Enerji ve Yakıtlar Çevre Mühendisliği

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık

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APA	AKCAN S (2017). Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. , 161 - 172.
Chicago	AKCAN SERAP Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. (2017): 161 - 172.
MLA	AKCAN SERAP Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. , 2017, ss.161 - 172.
AMA	AKCAN S Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. . 2017; 161 - 172.
Vancouver	AKCAN S Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. . 2017; 161 - 172.
IEEE	AKCAN S "Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods." , ss.161 - 172, 2017.
ISNAD	AKCAN, SERAP. "Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods". (2017), 161-172.

APA	AKCAN S (2017). Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi, 32(2), 161 - 172.
Chicago	AKCAN SERAP Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi 32, no.2 (2017): 161 - 172.
MLA	AKCAN SERAP Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi, vol.32, no.2, 2017, ss.161 - 172.
AMA	AKCAN S Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi. 2017; 32(2): 161 - 172.
Vancouver	AKCAN S Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods. Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi. 2017; 32(2): 161 - 172.
IEEE	AKCAN S "Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods." Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi, 32, ss.161 - 172, 2017.
ISNAD	AKCAN, SERAP. "Wind Speed Forecasting using Time Series Analysis Methods". Çukurova Üniversitesi Mühendislik-Mimarlik Fakültesi Dergisi 32/2 (2017), 161-172.