Yıl: 2020 Cilt: 7 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 35 - 40 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.17350/HJSE19030000169 İndeks Tarihi: 18-10-2020

Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method

Öz:
In recent years, the share of solar power in total energy production has gained a rapidincrease. Therefore, prediction of solar power production has become increasingly important for energy regulations. In this study we proposed an ensemble method which givescompetitive prediction performance for solar power production. This method firstly decomposes the nonlinear power production data into components with a multi-scale decomposition technique such as Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD). These componentsare then enriched with the explanatory exogenous feature set. Finally, each componentis separately modeled by nonlinear machine learning methods and their results are aggregated as final prediction. We use two different training approaches such as Hour-basedand Day-based, for predicting the power production at each hour in a day. Experimentalresults show that our ensemble method with Hour-based approach outperform the examined machine learning methods.
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA Ertekin Ş (2020). Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. , 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
Chicago Ertekin Şeyda Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. (2020): 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
MLA Ertekin Şeyda Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. , 2020, ss.35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
AMA Ertekin Ş Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. . 2020; 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
Vancouver Ertekin Ş Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. . 2020; 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
IEEE Ertekin Ş "Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method." , ss.35 - 40, 2020. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
ISNAD Ertekin, Şeyda. "Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method". (2020), 35-40. https://doi.org/10.17350/HJSE19030000169
APA Ertekin Ş (2020). Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering, 7(1), 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
Chicago Ertekin Şeyda Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering 7, no.1 (2020): 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
MLA Ertekin Şeyda Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering, vol.7, no.1, 2020, ss.35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
AMA Ertekin Ş Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering. 2020; 7(1): 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
Vancouver Ertekin Ş Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method. Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering. 2020; 7(1): 35 - 40. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
IEEE Ertekin Ş "Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method." Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering, 7, ss.35 - 40, 2020. 10.17350/HJSE19030000169
ISNAD Ertekin, Şeyda. "Solar Power Prediction with an Hour-based Ensemble Machine Learning Method". Hittite Journal of Science and Engineering 7/1 (2020), 35-40. https://doi.org/10.17350/HJSE19030000169