Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models

KİŞİ, Özgür

Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models

Özgür KİŞİ (İstanbul Teknik Üniversitesi, İnşaat Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, İstanbul, Türkiye)

Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences

8 0

Yıl: 2005 Cilt: 29 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 9 - 20 Metin Dili: İngilizce İndeks Tarihi: 29-07-2022

Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models

Öz:

Estimating the flows of rivers can have a significant economic impact, as this can help in agricultural water management and in providing protection from water shortages and possible flood damage. This paper provides forecasting benchmarks for river flow prediction in the form of a numerical and graphical comparison between neural networks and auto-regressive (AR) models. Benchmarking was based on 7 and 4-year periods of continuous river flow data for 2 rivers in the USA, the Blackwater River and the Gila River, and a 2-year period of streamflow data for the Filyos Stream in Turkey. The choice of appropriate artificial neural network (ANN) architectures for hydrological forecasting, in terms of hidden layers and nodes, was investigated. Three simple neural network (NN) architectures were then selected for comparison with the AR model forecasts. Sum of square errors (SSEs) and correlation statistic measures were used to evaluate the models' performances. The benchmark results showed that NNs were able to produce better results than AR models when given the same data inputs.

Anahtar Kelime:

Konular: Çevre Mühendisliği

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık

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APA	KİŞİ Ö (2005). Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. , 9 - 20.
Chicago	KİŞİ Özgür Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. (2005): 9 - 20.
MLA	KİŞİ Özgür Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. , 2005, ss.9 - 20.
AMA	KİŞİ Ö Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. . 2005; 9 - 20.
Vancouver	KİŞİ Ö Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. . 2005; 9 - 20.
IEEE	KİŞİ Ö "Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models." , ss.9 - 20, 2005.
ISNAD	KİŞİ, Özgür. "Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models". (2005), 9-20.

APA	KİŞİ Ö (2005). Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, 29(1), 9 - 20.
Chicago	KİŞİ Özgür Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences 29, no.1 (2005): 9 - 20.
MLA	KİŞİ Özgür Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, vol.29, no.1, 2005, ss.9 - 20.
AMA	KİŞİ Ö Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences. 2005; 29(1): 9 - 20.
Vancouver	KİŞİ Ö Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences. 2005; 29(1): 9 - 20.
IEEE	KİŞİ Ö "Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models." Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, 29, ss.9 - 20, 2005.
ISNAD	KİŞİ, Özgür. "Daily river flow forecasting using artificial neural networks and auto-regressive models". Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences 29/1 (2005), 9-20.