Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods

akın, ahmet cumhur; Tekindal, Mustafa Agah; ÇEVRIMLI, MUSTAFA BAHADIR; ARIKAN, Mehmet Saltuk

doi:10.33188/vetheder.643824

Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods

Ahmet Cumhur AKIN, (Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi, Veteriner Fakültesi, Hayvan Sağlığı Ekonomisi ve İşletmeciliği Anabilim Dalı, Burdur, Türkiye)

Mustafa Agah TEKİNDAL, (Selçuk Üniversitesi, Veteriner Fakültesi, Biyoistatistik Anabilim Dalı, Konya, Türkiye)

Mehmet Saltuk ARIKAN, (Fırat Üniversitesi, Veteriner Fakültesi, Hayvan Sağlığı Ekonomisi ve İşletmeciliği Anabilim Dalı, Elazığ, Türkiye)

Mustafa Bahadır ÇEVRİMLİ (Selçuk Üniversitesi, Veteriner Fakültesi, Hayvancılık Ekonomisi ve İşletmeciliği Anabilim Dalı, Konya, Türkiye)

Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi

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Yıl: 2020 Cilt: 91 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 49 - 60 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.33188/vetheder.643824 İndeks Tarihi: 29-04-2021

Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods

Öz:

Analysis of the quantity of cow milk supplied to the industry in Turkey is one of the methods that could providestakeholders with the most accurate results from the perspective of raw milk projections and the interpretation of thesector. Therefore, it is important that the amount of milk supplied to the industry is used instead of the total amount ofmilk produced in the projections of the sector. The present study is intended to model the time series data of the amountof milk supplied to the dairy industry in Turkey between 2013/01 and 2018/03 using Box-Jenkins and Winters'Exponential Smoothing methods, and to analyse the production of milk and the future of the dairy industry in Turkeyutilising the forecasts obtained from such models. The results of the analyses indicate that the Winters' ExponentialSmoothing model gives more consistent results than the Box-Jenkins model with respect to the future forecast value anddecision-making criterion of the amount of milk supplied to the industry.

Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık

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APA	akın a, Tekindal M, ARIKAN M, ÇEVRIMLI M (2020). Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. , 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
Chicago	akın ahmet cumhur,Tekindal Mustafa Agah,ARIKAN Mehmet Saltuk,ÇEVRIMLI MUSTAFA BAHADIR Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. (2020): 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
MLA	akın ahmet cumhur,Tekindal Mustafa Agah,ARIKAN Mehmet Saltuk,ÇEVRIMLI MUSTAFA BAHADIR Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. , 2020, ss.49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
AMA	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. . 2020; 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
Vancouver	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. . 2020; 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
IEEE	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M "Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods." , ss.49 - 60, 2020. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
ISNAD	akın, ahmet cumhur vd. "Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods". (2020), 49-60. https://doi.org/10.33188/vetheder.643824

APA	akın a, Tekindal M, ARIKAN M, ÇEVRIMLI M (2020). Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi, 91(1), 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
Chicago	akın ahmet cumhur,Tekindal Mustafa Agah,ARIKAN Mehmet Saltuk,ÇEVRIMLI MUSTAFA BAHADIR Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi 91, no.1 (2020): 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
MLA	akın ahmet cumhur,Tekindal Mustafa Agah,ARIKAN Mehmet Saltuk,ÇEVRIMLI MUSTAFA BAHADIR Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi, vol.91, no.1, 2020, ss.49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
AMA	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi. 2020; 91(1): 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
Vancouver	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods. Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi. 2020; 91(1): 49 - 60. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
IEEE	akın a,Tekindal M,ARIKAN M,ÇEVRIMLI M "Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods." Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi, 91, ss.49 - 60, 2020. 10.33188/vetheder.643824
ISNAD	akın, ahmet cumhur vd. "Modelling of the milk supplied to the industry in Turkey through Box-Jenkins and Winters' Exponential Smoothing methods". Veteriner Hekimler Derneği Dergisi 91/1 (2020), 49-60. https://doi.org/10.33188/vetheder.643824