Yıl: 2021 Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1 Sayfa Aralığı: 56 - 59 Metin Dili: İngilizce DOI: 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086 İndeks Tarihi: 23-05-2021

Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey

Öz:
Objective: Although health systems and health policies differ from country to country, the Ministry of Health and the Minister of Health are generallyresponsible for the health policies in a country. They are responsible for the national health policies, strategies, and plans, which require time to be putin practice. It is difficult to realize these in the short term, and hence, the office tenure is important for ministers. This study aimed to calculate the prob-ability of health ministers in Turkey leaving office in the last century.Material and Methods: We used the survival analysis method to calculate the probability of leaving office. We also used the life table method, in whichthe probability of leaving office was determined by equally dividing the time periods into 6 months.Results: According to the analysis, we calculated that the possibility of a health minister in Turkey leaving office in the first 6 months is 10.3%. Theprobability of leaving the Ministry of Health in the first 1 year increased by approximately 3.5 times and reached 34.5%. At the end of the first year, theprobability of leaving office was calculated to be over 50%.Conclusion: For the continuity and sustainability of health policies, it is not desirable that the minister of health, who is at the top level of the healthmanagement, remains in office for a short time. Considering the recent years, Turkey has shown that the duration of the health ministers to remain inoffice and the probability of remaining in office is increasing accordingly.
Anahtar Kelime:

Sağlık Bakanlarının Görevden Ayrılma Olasılığı: Türkiye İçin Bir Sağkalım Analizi

Öz:
Amaç: Sağlık sistemleri ve sağlık politikaları ülkeden ülkeye farklılık gösterse de, genellikle bir ülkedeki sağlık politikalarından Sağlık Bakanlığı ve Sağlık Bakanı sorumludur. Sağlık Bakanları uygulamaya konulması için zaman gerektiren ulusal sağlık politikalarından, stratejilerinden ve plan- lardan sorumludurlar. Kısa vadede bunları gerçekleştirmek zordur ve bu nedenle bakanlar için görev süresi önemlidir. Bu çalışma, son yüzyılda Türkiye'deki sağlık bakanlarının görevden ayrılma olasılığını hesaplamayı amaçlamaktadır. Gereç ve Yöntemler: Görevden ayrılma olasılığını hesaplamak için hayatta kalma analizi yöntemi kullanıldı. Ayrıca, zaman dilimlerini eşit olarak 6 aya bölerek görevden ayrılma olasılığının belirlendiği yaşam tablosu yöntemini kullanıldı. Bulgular: Analize göre Türkiye'de bir sağlık bakanının ilk 6 ayda görevden ayrılma ihtimalinin %10,3 olduğunu sonucuna ulaşılmıştır. İlk 1 yıl içinde Sağlık Bakanlığı'ndan ayrılma olasılığı yaklaşık 3,5 kat artarak %34,5'e ulaşmıştır. İlk yılın sonunda görevden ayrılma olasılığı ise %50'nin üzerinde hesaplanmıştır. Sonuç: Sağlık politikalarının sürekliliği ve sürdürülebilirliği için sağlık yönetiminin tepe noktasında yer alan Sağlık Bakanı'nın kısa bir süre göre- vde kalması arzu edilmez. Türkiye’de, son yıllara bakıldığında sağlık bakanlarının görevde kalma süresinin ve buna bağlı olarak görevde kalmaolasılığının arttığı görülmektedir.
Anahtar Kelime:

Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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APA OZSARI H, BOZ C (2021). Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. , 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
Chicago OZSARI HALUK,BOZ CANSER Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. (2021): 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
MLA OZSARI HALUK,BOZ CANSER Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. , 2021, ss.56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
AMA OZSARI H,BOZ C Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. . 2021; 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
Vancouver OZSARI H,BOZ C Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. . 2021; 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
IEEE OZSARI H,BOZ C "Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey." , ss.56 - 59, 2021. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
ISNAD OZSARI, HALUK - BOZ, CANSER. "Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey". (2021), 56-59. https://doi.org/10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
APA OZSARI H, BOZ C (2021). Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. Archives of health science and research (Online), 8(1), 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
Chicago OZSARI HALUK,BOZ CANSER Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. Archives of health science and research (Online) 8, no.1 (2021): 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
MLA OZSARI HALUK,BOZ CANSER Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. Archives of health science and research (Online), vol.8, no.1, 2021, ss.56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
AMA OZSARI H,BOZ C Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. Archives of health science and research (Online). 2021; 8(1): 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
Vancouver OZSARI H,BOZ C Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey. Archives of health science and research (Online). 2021; 8(1): 56 - 59. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
IEEE OZSARI H,BOZ C "Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey." Archives of health science and research (Online), 8, ss.56 - 59, 2021. 10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086
ISNAD OZSARI, HALUK - BOZ, CANSER. "Probability of Health Ministers Leaving Office: A Survival Analysis for Turkey". Archives of health science and research (Online) 8/1 (2021), 56-59. https://doi.org/10.5152/ArcHealthSciRes.2021.20086