FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI
Yıl: 2018 Cilt: 40 Sayı: 2 Sayfa Aralığı: 181 - 207 Metin Dili: Türkçe DOI: 10.14780/muiibd.511028 İndeks Tarihi: 05-11-2019
FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI
Öz: Bu çalışma 2000–2014 yılları arasında Borsa İstanbul’da işlem görmüş olan 208 imalat sektörü işletmesiiçin finansal başarısızlık riski üzerinde etkili olan faktörleri belirlemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Analizlerdeişletmelere özgü finansal oranlar ve kurumsal yönetim ile ilgili değişkenlere ek olarak finansalpiyasalar, makroekonomi ve küresel ekonomi ile ilgili göstergeler de göz önüne alınmıştır. Ampiriktahmin yöntemleri olarak yarı parametrik (Cox orantılı riskler) ve parametrik (panel probit, panellogit, tamamlayıcı log-log, log-logistic) sağ kalım ve panel rastsal etkiler yöntemleri kullanılmıştır.Bulgulara göre Cox orantılı riskler yöntemi, işlem karakteristiği eğrileri, başarı ve hata (tip-1 ve tip-2)oranları açısından kıyaslanan yöntemler arasında en yüksek başarıyı elde etmiştir.
Anahtar Kelime: Konular:
DETERMINANTS OF FINANCIAL DEFAULT: THE CASE OF MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY IN TURKEY
Öz: This study aims to determine the factors predicting the risk of financial default of 208 firms from manufacturing industry, which were listed at Borsa İstanbul within the period of 2000-2014. In the analyses, in addition to the firm specific financial ratios and variables related with corporate governance, indicators about financial markets, macro-economy and global economic conditions has been used as well. As for the empirical estimation methods, semi-parametric (Cox proportional hazard) and parametric (panel probit, panel logit, complementary log-log, log-logistic) survival analysis and panel random effects methods has been utilized. Given the findings, Cox proportional hazard model outperformed the others according to the receiver operating characteristic curves, success and error (both type-1 and type-2) rates.
Anahtar Kelime: Konular:
Belge Türü: Makale Makale Türü: Araştırma Makalesi Erişim Türü: Erişime Açık
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| APA | ERTAN A, ERSAN Ö (2018). FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. , 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| Chicago | ERTAN Arhan S.,ERSAN Ömer FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. (2018): 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| MLA | ERTAN Arhan S.,ERSAN Ömer FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. , 2018, ss.181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| AMA | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. . 2018; 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| Vancouver | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. . 2018; 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| IEEE | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö "FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI." , ss.181 - 207, 2018. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| ISNAD | ERTAN, Arhan S. - ERSAN, Ömer. "FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI". (2018), 181-207. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| APA | ERTAN A, ERSAN Ö (2018). FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 40(2), 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| Chicago | ERTAN Arhan S.,ERSAN Ömer FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 40, no.2 (2018): 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| MLA | ERTAN Arhan S.,ERSAN Ömer FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, vol.40, no.2, 2018, ss.181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| AMA | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2018; 40(2): 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| Vancouver | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2018; 40(2): 181 - 207. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| IEEE | ERTAN A,ERSAN Ö "FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI." Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 40, ss.181 - 207, 2018. 10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
| ISNAD | ERTAN, Arhan S. - ERSAN, Ömer. "FINANSAL BAŞARISIZLIĞI BELIRLEYEN ETKENLER: TÜRKIYE İMALAT SEKTÖRÜ ÖRNEĞI". Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 40/2 (2018), 181-207. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.511028 |
